Note to readers: July 29, 2020

Research work on Covid-19 is ongoing but updates have been suspended. Thank you for your patience!

COVID Curve Tracker – May 24, 2020

HOW OUR CHARTS ARE DIFFERENT: Most others charts are based on complex modeling that guesses at how many people will contract the virus and die. We start at the other end: we look at the deaths that have already occurred and create a predictive model based on the patterns of deaths in that country or state. These patterns inform each country’s unique “Covid Curve.”

The following graphs show the curves for peak and total deaths. The shaded area indicates uncertainty.