COVID Curve Tracker – April 5, 2020
This project examines the daily change in the rate of death for selected countries. Each country’s curve is aligned with a reference curve calculated from historical data available from countries that have already completed a coronavirus cycle. The reference curve allows for the projection of daily deaths, peak deaths, and total deaths in countries currently in a coronavirus cycle.
Daily death rate, all regions
Daily Deaths
Rate of Growth in Daily Deaths
Countries
France
France
490
Peak deaths per day
April 10
Date of peak deaths
13,000
Total deaths
Germany
Germany
210
Peak deaths per day
April 16
Date of peak deaths
5,600
Total deaths
Italy
Italy
770
Peak deaths per day
April 7
Date of peak deaths
22,000
Total deaths
Netherlands
Netherlands
180
Peak deaths per day
April 12
Date of peak deaths
4,800
Total deaths
Spain
Spain
910
Peak deaths per day
April 8
Date of peak deaths
24,000
Total deaths
United Kingdom
United Kingdom
1,000
Peak deaths per day
April 19
Date of peak deaths
27,000
Total deaths
States
New York
New York
1,000
Peak deaths per day
April 20
Date of peak deaths
26,000
Total deaths
