This project examines the daily change in the rate of death for selected countries. Each country’s curve is aligned with an intelligent reference curve calculated from historical data available from countries that have already completed a coronavirus cycle. The reference curve allows for the projection of daily deaths, peak deaths, and total deaths in countries currently in a coronavirus cycle.
Total & daily deaths, all regions
Daily Deaths
Rate of Growth in Daily Deaths
Countries
France
France
700
Peak deaths per day
April 13
Date of peak deaths
18,000
Total deaths
Shows current location of country or state in relation to the full reference curve.
Shows actual trajectory of country or state (in black) aligned with reference curve (in red).
Germany
Germany
210
Peak deaths per day
April 16
Date of peak deaths
5,300
Total deaths
Shows current location of country or state in relation to the full reference curve.
Italy
Italy
720
Peak deaths per day
April 6
Date of peak deaths
20,000
Total deaths
Shows current location of country or state in relation to the full reference curve.
Shows actual trajectory of country or state (in black) aligned with reference curve (in red).
Netherlands
Netherlands
270
Peak deaths per day
April 15
Date of peak deaths
6,900
Total deaths
Shows current location of country or state in relation to the full reference curve.
Shows actual trajectory of country or state (in black) aligned with reference curve (in red).
Spain
Spain
1,300
Peak deaths per day
April 11
Date of peak deaths
33,000
Total deaths
Shows current location of country or state in relation to the full reference curve.
Shows actual trajectory of country or state (in black) aligned with reference curve (in red).
United Kingdom
United Kingdom
1,200
Peak deaths per day
April 20
Date of peak deaths
30,000
Total deaths
Shows current location of country or state in relation to the full reference curve.
Shows actual trajectory of country or state (in black) aligned with reference curve (in red).
States
New York
New York
1,200
Peak deaths per day
April 21
Date of peak deaths
30,000
Total deaths
Shows current location of country or state in relation to the full reference curve.
Shows actual trajectory of country or state (in black) aligned with reference curve (in red).